http://www.hedgefolios.com/read Helping equity investors build and manage their own portfolios in bullish or bearish markets Mon, 17 Nov 2008 18:22:28 +0000 http://backend.userland.com/rss092 en On Tuesday, I had the pleasure of spending a perfect Minneapolis day on a golf course with Charles Kirk of THEKIRKREPORT.COM. Charles was the first person to link to HedgeFolios and I greatly appreciate all the traffic that originated with him. His site is one of the ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/the-kirk-report In my previous post, I suggested that Hurricane Ernesto would give us a small opportunity to quantify the extent of hurricane speculation in each barrel of oil. Based upon my rough assessment, it looks like $2 (or roughly 3%) is a good guess. Oil went up about $2 ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/speculation-about-speculation Since 2004, there's been a lot of discussion about how much the price of a barrel of crude is related to speculation from traders rather than fundamental changes in supply and demand or other causes. Much of this debate is coming (of course) from the politicians, many of whom ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/speculation-in-oil "Mr. Sunshine" - I got that one from my former boss and it wasn't because of my sunny disposition towards the market. Oh well, I have been called a lot worse. I recently watched CNBC's "Fast Money" and while I liked the show in general, I get tired ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/whats-your-nickname I look at about 5,000 charts each week so I don't hesitate to think of myself as a technical analyst. But, today, when I hear over and over again on CNBC that market technicians are bearish, I wonder - am I missing something? After all, I am not ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/technical-generalities ****Performance has been updated through 8/18/06 - please read through the following disclaimer and find the updated figures at the end of the post. Before I discuss Hedgefolios performance, I want to cover myself with some cautionary language. So here goes: Nothing in my performance quoting is intended as an advertisement or in ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/performance-through-81806 Peter Lynch is well known for the investing maxim "invest in what you know." Obviously, it worked extremely well for him and hopefully for all the investors who read his books. There are a bunch of great stories of watching what hot trends your kids are getting into ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/uninvest-in-what-you-know In my previous post, I expressed a lot of concern about downside market risk despite holding out hope for a decent finish during the last two days of the week. That was before the British terrorist plot was disclosed and I was really fearful that it would act as ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/heads-up I don't like writing posts like this, especially not in the middle of the trading week. I try not to be dramatic and I am going to hold back in this post too. But, I just spent many hours reviewing charts and I am stunned. I have ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/watch-out-below BMY is doing it. GM did it. OSTK did it. BVF did it. Skilling and Lay did it. Hey, what a great idea! Everybody's doing it so why not me? Whenever I screw up in life I am going to blame ... http://www.hedgefolios.com/read/when-in-doubt-blame-the-shorts