Ouch!
I was looking for a rally today and I got it….at least until it disappeared. I hate being wrong and I was wrong about my expectation for a short term rally starting today. When I look at the market action from the last week - today was the worst, Friday was second and Thursday was the best. Now I know you are going to tell me I got the math wrong and that the declines were biggest on Thursday, then Friday, then today. But what I am talking about is the interpretation of the moves. There was significant selling going on today from the gap up open until it broke down this afternoon. I have been critical of the short sellers and while I still think they have sucked for many months, today was impressive. If they did some covering, they did it well. Meanwhile, the bulls were dumping shares. So if you are a bear and I offended you…don’t hold your breath for an apology - just do your thing. Today was a great opportunity for the bulls and they screwed it up.
Meanwhile, I gave more new UP signals than DOWNs this week. As I hinted in my previous post, I took last week as an opportunity to “cover” some signals that I thought had been sold out. And I didn’t overreact by dumping a bunch of stocks that had already suffered. With today’s action, it appears that I might have been too optimistic for a relief rally. We’ll see….

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